Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 170.683849 186.896844 203.460064 221.617255 240.932487 260.836654 282.868457
2024-12-22 143.695279 167.857960 193.674350 223.185137 255.858484 290.802109 330.872915
2024-12-29 126.073571 156.345804 190.034936 229.993971 275.778527 326.287754 385.902741
2025-01-05 110.994103 145.664118 185.741257 234.897405 292.955633 358.748735 438.326015
2025-01-12 95.858544 133.036395 177.630025 234.092163 302.682440 382.330756 480.792641
2025-01-19 83.432248 122.215729 170.399334 233.234439 311.544601 404.482568 521.599077
2025-01-26 76.823889 117.952548 170.615144 241.015759 330.625848 438.872345 577.393212
2025-02-02 70.617592 113.474378 169.956148 247.239396 347.544617 470.677503 630.443666
2025-02-09 65.522755 109.917735 170.024450 254.041024 365.020941 503.229800 684.762513
2025-02-16 60.810701 106.381955 169.702915 260.018342 381.295037 534.344533 737.630690
2025-02-23 52.421527 96.621204 160.025880 252.691853 379.579739 542.226844 761.091070
2025-03-02 46.171551 89.436461 153.384541 248.964379 382.179913 555.338247 791.051107
2025-03-09 41.924232 85.085582 150.672058 250.720901 392.397319 578.848525 835.245822
2025-03-16 38.449605 81.650688 149.064811 253.899754 404.565822 605.125637 883.498098
2025-03-23 36.526479 80.630161 151.014800 262.236436 424.039055 641.440092 945.467892
2025-03-30 34.215349 78.695364 151.370870 268.130624 440.119544 673.404488 1002.133575
2025-04-06 30.763901 74.345776 147.574696 267.527890 446.788158 692.591940 1041.976040
2025-04-13 27.636475 70.232727 143.841392 266.744363 453.011467 711.115452 1081.042912
2025-04-20 26.519215 69.848253 146.213598 275.420047 473.136835 749.069335 1146.779798
2025-04-27 25.178892 68.873960 147.488491 282.334933 490.731112 783.691193 1208.359292
2025-05-04 24.044357 68.187012 149.167704 289.859836 509.287768 819.827883 1272.337706
2025-05-11 22.843699 67.231003 150.289423 296.459502 526.522060 854.283324 1334.360361
2025-05-18 19.633348 61.550222 142.636565 288.402708 521.281859 856.654672 1351.994059